CLASS 3
DISCUSSION
1. AIDS and AZT
Read the article "Study Challenges AZT Role As the Chief Drug for H.I.V."
- If drug A is better than drug B, and drug B is better than
nothing, is drug A better than nothing? Why or why not?
- Are you concerned about the dropout rate in this study? give your
reasons.
- What other issues or concerns do you have about this study?
2. Coin tosses
- In a study on how people perceive probability, Kahneman and
Tversky asked subjects ``which of the following two sequences is
more likely: H T H T T H or H H H T T T ? " Most people will say
the first sequence. Why do you think they say this?
- If a fair coin is tossed three times there will be 0, 1, 2, or 3
heads. How likely is each of these four possibilities?
Journal Assignment
- Read the articles in Chance database related to AIDS tests, and record
your comments.
- Perform experiments with coin tosses, do it in three ways: flip the>
coin, balance the coin on edge and strike the table, spin the coin on
edge. Do each trial 100 times, and record your probability.