Unit I. Public Opinion Polls; Census Undercount.

Key Concepts

Populations and Samples.

Variability in Estimators.

Confidence Statements.

Unit II. Visual Display of Quantitative Information

Key Concepts

Displaying Distributions.

Histograms, Bar Graphs, Scatterplots.

Abuses of Graphical Displays.

Unit III. Streaks in Sports

Key Concepts

Basic Probability Rules.

Misperceptions of Chance Processes.

Kahneman-Tversky Research.

Unit IV. Statistics and AIDS

Key Concepts

Bayes' Rule (Screening Tests).

Controlled Experiments (AZT Trial).

Unit V. DNA Fingerprinting

Key Concepts

Tests of Significance.

Independence and the Mult. Rule.

CLASS STRUCTURE

Texts:

David Moore, Statistics: Concepts and Controversies

Victor Cohn, News and Numbers,

Chance magazine

Classroom Activities

• Discussions of newspaper articles and assigned background reading
• Small group work analyzing questions
• Physical and Computer simulation experiments
• Limited lecture (mechanics)

WRITING INTENSIVE COURSE
-Paper Assignments

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