Welcome to Probability by Surprise

Experimenting Paradoxes - Applets

• The Birthday Problem Applet
• Say Red Applet
• The Collector Applet
• Banach's Matchbox Problem Applet
• The Matching Problem Applet
• The IID Sequence Applet
• Polya's Urn as a restaurant choice.
• Random Scatter
• Traffic jams

Visualizing Probabilities - Applets

• Building a Probability Tree
• Two-dimensional densities with Conditional Probabilities

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The Class Notes

This contains all the class notes for the Introduction to Probability class currently taught at Stanford using these, and other web-resources.

Acknowledgements

This work was made possible by a grant from NSF-DUE and the support of Cornell University and the statistics department at Stanford. Collaborators who have written applets include: Brigitte Charnomordic, Marc Coram, Susan Holmes, Balasubramanuan Narasimhan, Hua Tang, Ying Taur, Jing Zhi, Jeff Zhu. Consultants who have helped in other ways include Bob Connelly, Persi Diaconis, Marc Huber and Barbara Tversky.